Week 4 Picks

Baltimore over New England
Washington over Tampa Bay
Tennessee over Jacksonville
Houston over Oakland
Chicago over Detroit
Cincinnati over Cleveland
Indianapolis over Seattle
New York over Kansas City
New Orleans over New York
Buffalo over Miami
Dallas over Denver
San Francisco over St. Louis
San Diego over Pittsburgh
Green Bay over Minnesota
NCAA Tournament Picks (Sort of)
Every year on Selection Sunday, I sit down on the couch, grab the remote, put on CBS and wait for Greg Gumbel to tell me which teams made it into the tournament and their respective seeds. After the final team is named, I go to my printer and print out five copies of the bracket. Three for me and two for my dad. I just finished my first bracket and I will tell you what, I am not happy with it. I fall in love with the number one seeds too easily. And if this year has taught us anything, NO ONE is a favorite. Right now, excluding the 13, 14, 15, and 16 seeds, it seems as if anyone can win the tournament. Each team has significant flaws and bad losses.
I ended up with Louisville winning it all after the first bracket. It sounds like a reasonable choice, but I hate it. I just know somewhere along the road they will be knocked off by a Wake Forest or even a Kansas. They are a heck of a team and proved that by winning both the Big East regular season championship and Big East Tournament yesterday. But all year, whenever they were on television, I would turn to my dad and say, "They probably have the most talent in the country, but they play so dumb". And it's true, they make awful decisions; bad shot selection, touch fouls, and unnecessary passes. Each number one has their own problems. Pittsburgh turns into an average team when DeJuan Blair gets into foul trouble, North Carolina relies too heavily on Tyler Hansbrough, and Connecticut has not been the same without Jerome Dyson. All that being said, it wouldn't be unreasonable to say that none of the number ones will make the Final Four. That is why I hate my choice in Louisville to win it all. After posing a objective, reasoned argument stating that the higher seeds are clearly not of the same ilk of years past, I end up with the Cardinals to win it. But you know what, I am going to stick with them. My parents and teachers always told me to go with my gut instinct, and that is what I am going to do.
I might toil around with my other picks though. It is difficult to fill out a bracket objectively without having personal feelings get in the way. I am a sucker for the Big East and after making my picks, I realized that six of the eight teams in the Elite Eight were from the Big East. As much as I would like that to happen, the odds are against it.
I love some of the opening round games and I am estatic that the economy is the way it is so I don't have to go to some job on Thursday or Friday. I can watch college basketball for twelve straight hours and only breaking my visual gait to go to the little boys' room. I will be keeping my eye on these opening round games...
(8) Ohio State vs. (9) Siena
I have always thought the Big Ten was overrated and this year was no exception. Although teams like Michigan St. and Purdue perform well in conference, they would be at the bottom half of the ACC or Big East. The committee didn't see it my way though by inviting seven Big Ten teams in the tournament, including Ohio State. The Buckeyes were poised to have a terrific year and were ranked high in the Top 25 at the beginning of the season. But after getting destroyed by West Virginia in December, they started to struggle. Before the Big Ten tournament they were firmly on the bubble and after a great showing where they made the finals, are now an eight seed. But I like Siena in this game. Look for senior guard Kenny Hasbrouck to carry the Saints to another first round victory.
(7) Boston College vs. (10) USC
(7) California vs. (10) Maryland
(7) Clemson vs. (10) Michigan
The way I see it, it is not a year for the seven seeds. If you are looking for upsets, here they are. I base that off the overratedness (word?) of the seven seeds in the tournament (other than Texas). I understand that Boston College beat both UNC and Duke this season, but that is the extent of their key wins and probably the sole reason they made it to the tournament. Remember that double digit loss to Harvard earlier in the season? "Yes, Boston College, I remember and I am calling you out!" They are in for a rude awakening when Taj Gibson and the rest of Southern California run over the Eagles.
Shouldn't Maryland over California be an automatic pick? The Bears had two losses to Oregon State and a loss to Stanford this season. Sure, if I am going to call out Cal for losing to those two teams, I really should call out Maryland for losing to Morgan State in January. But that is besides the point! Maryland has the big game experience coming out of the ACC and Greivis Vasquez who can take over a game on his own.
Why are people constantly sold on Clemson? I remember writing in a post from September how their entire sports program is based off hype. Prior to every football and basketball season, the Clemson Tigers are overhyped with high rankings and the words "National Championship" following their name. This season, like every season, Clemson started out hot and were one of the last undefeated teams left in the country. Like they are every year. Then they ended the season 7-8 with losses to Virginia, Georgia Tech, Florida State, and Wake Forest. I anticipate a quick exit for the Tigers.
(8) BYU vs. (9) Texas A&M
Isn't BYU an eight seed every, freaking, year? Just something to think about. I like BYU by the way.
Teams to go on a run:
Wake Forest
Why not? At one point in the season they were ranked number one. They have a plethora of talent and have been battle-tested all season in the ACC.
Syracuse:
A lot of "analysts" have been asking if the Orange are going to be burnt out come Thursday after playing for 700 minutes this weekend. I'm not sure if these analysts realize that these are 18-22 year old athletes who will have 5 days off. They have a terrific complement of pure shooters and strength inside. Not to mention a coach who won a National Championship only seven years ago in Jim Boeheim.
Incredibly random team to make a run so I look like a genius when they do:
Virginia Commonwealth University

Only 21 hours until the Women's Bracket is revealed!
NFL Divisional Playoffs
I am going to keep my picks short and sweet. Everything that needs to be said about these games has already been said, heard, criticized, and reworded. Should be a fun weekend of sitting, watching, eating, more sitting, yelling at the TV, yelling at family members for standing in front of the TV, more eating, occasional napping, and maybe some eating.
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Thanksgiving! NFL Picks! Cranberry Sauce!
I hate that if I want to do my NFL picks this week, I have to do them now. On Wednesday. Although I enjoy football on Thanksgiving, I just think that all NFL games for Week 13 should be on Thanksgiving. Tomorrow there are three games on television. Actually, two games on television and one on NFL Network. But staying in the tradition of the holiday, none of the games are interesting, in a playoff sense. Let's go through them (all the rest), shall we?
Thanksgiving Day
Tennessee over Detroit
What is the over/under for safeties on this game? But to be honest, I think it will be a lot closer than everyone believes. Tennessee was clearly brought down to Earth last week against the Jets. And even though the Lions have no pass rush, run defense, running game, special teams, or quarterback, don't put it past them to make a game out of this one.
Dallas over Seattle
Just when we thought the Cowboys were out of it, Tony Romo and his pinkie come back from injury and suddenly they are back in contention. They just won't go away. They're like the Patriots, except they don't win. But it looks like they will make quick work of the Seahawks and this game will be over before Wade Phillips shits his pants from giddiness.
Arizona over Philadelphia
Clearly, this is the best of the three games on Thanksgiving. No team from the west has traveled to the east and won a game this year. Some people blame the fact that the west teams lose three hours when traveling east. That's bull. Sure it happens, but none of these football players have any sense of time. And if that was the fact, just leave the airport three hours earlier. Shouldn't be a problem. I blame, like all of you should, the quality of teams in the west. And not just in the NFC. All west coast teams are overchieving or just bad, with the exception of the Cardinals. As far as the game goes, I'm going with Arizona. It's about time some team snuffed out a member of the NFC East's playoff hopes. If Shayne Graham hits that field goal and the end of overtime two weeks ago, we wouldn't be having this conversation. Kevin Kolb (Cobb) would be starting his career as the Eagles quarterback and Andy Reid would be writing his resume. But no, a tie was the final outcome, and now we are forced to witness a slow, painful death that will be the Philadelphia Eagles. I'm just hoping the Warner, Fitzgerald, or Boldin set some sort of offensive record during that game. Just to make it watchable.
Buffalo over San Francisco
The audience for this game has been narrowed down to a few demographics. They are as follows:
1. Buffalo Bill Fans: They are loyal SOBs and even though they have a paper thin shot at the playoffs, they'll watch. My suggestion to them is to start drinking heavily.
2. San Francisco Fans: You never hear much from them, but they are there. They don't really complain a lot. It was more the media who called for Mike Nolan's job and Mike Singletary's pants dropping escapade. The latter being the fact that most people will watch. Hoping he does it on the field.
3. Frank Gore/Lee Evans Fantasy Owners: Myself being a Gore owner, I am hoping he does not shit the bed like he did against the Cowboys (24 yds, 0 TD). He was money the first half of the season, but since his injury, he has really fallen off. Anyway, I can't really think of another demographic who would have a reason to watch this game. Maybe Toronto Argonauts fans.
Baltimore over Cincinnati
John Harbaugh has really done a great job with the Ravens. Coach of the year is definitely not a clear cut decision. Harbaugh is one. Mike Smith with the Falcons. Jim Zorn of the Redskins. And ugh, Bill Belichick. I go with Mike Smith. Let's go through what he had to deal with coming into this season:
1. Michael Vick, the most famous player in their franchise's history is currently serving a 21 month jail sentence on a dog fighting conviction.
2. Bobby Petrino, bailed on their team after 13 games to go coach the Arkansas Razorbacks.
3. With the 3rd pick in the draft, they select Matt Ryan of Boston College to start at quarterback.
4. Michael Turner, a career backup with San Diego, signs a big deal with Atlanta to start.
All that, and they currently have a winning record in arguably the best division in football. Bill Belichick could win it every year, but that just wouldn't be fair.
New Orleans over Tampa Bay
Drew Brees is the MVP. There is no argument. Zero. None. He makes every player in that offense better. Except Shockey, who loves to underachieve. But seriously, if Lance Moore or Devery Henderson are on any other team, they're on the scout team.
New York over Washington
I'm just waiting for the Giants to fall off. And I'm a Giants supporter. But they have had no set back from losing anyone this season. Osi and Strahan out: keep winning. Burress out: Keep winning. Jacobs and Burress out: Keep winning. Who's got to go down in order to get this team to start losing? Carney? Feagles? David Carr? This team in unbelievable. I would pencil them in for the Super Bowl at this point, but I don't want to jinx them. I've got my fingers crossed for that Jets/Giants Super Bowl everyone has been talking about.*
*I want to talk about this a little more. Can you imagine if both teams had conference championships at the Meadowlands on the same day? How does that even work? I'm assuming that the NFL will make some exception and have one game on Saturday and one on Sunday. But if that were to happen, that would be the most anticipated weekend in the history on New York sports. And we would finally steal back the spotlight from Boston.
Miami over St. Louis
Both these teams have had odd years. The Rams were supposed to be semi-competitive coming into the year. And the Dolphins were rebuilding since day one. The Rams start off slow, fire their head coach, beat Washington and Dallas, then proceed to suck again. Miami suprises everyone by being respectable, embarasses the Patriots on the road, and now has a record of 6-5. In a game like this, I go by which #1 draft pick is performing better. Coming out of the draft I thought Chris Long was rated too high and so far has four sacks. Joe Thomas is already one of the best left tackles in the game. So I'm picking Miami.
Indianapolis over Cleveland
Where would the Colts be without Peyton Manning? 2-9? 3-8 maybe? He has put that awful team on his back and carried them to a 7-4 record. In other news, Brady Quinn will be on for the year with a broken finger. You can lift all you want Quinn, it's not going to save your season from a broken finger. So much for that experiment in Cleveland. Now, Derek Anderson will go back under center for the Browns. This feels like the beginning of the season, except without all the hype. Which is what it should have been. Because the Browns suck. Braylon Edwards can't catch a cold (Member of my Fantasy team), Romeo Crennel will be gone before the end of the season, and their GM Phil Savage is cursing out their fans via e-mail. Sabathia, LeBron, and the Browns. I'm glad I don't live there.
Green Bay over Carolina
Even though the Packers got their clocks cleaned down in New Orleans, I like them at home against the Panthers. This is a weird game to pick. The Panthers have looked very good at times with a very balanced offense. Smith and Muhammed in the air. Williams and Stewart on the ground. And an above average quarterback under center. The Packers are having growing pains with first year starter Aaron Rodgers, but have looked good at times. I'm looking for the Packers to turn in around at home.
Atlanta over San Diego
I've doubted the Falcons all year long. Never believe in them. I thought Ryan would be this good eventually, but not in eleven games. Now, I am a believer. As you recall, I chose the Chargers to make the Super Bowl. What I did not incorporate at the time of that selection was Norv Turner's ineptitude at the head coaching position. He is clearly another case of "an excellent coordinator can make an awful head coach". A guy who can scheme, plot, and draw up plays with the best of them, but when you add clock management and personnel management, their brain melts. I have a feeling the melting the brain will occur, as it did last week, when he faces a real head coach, in Mike Smith.
New York over Denver
Can I get excited yet? Am I allowed to come out of my cave? Can I openly root for the New York Jets without them ripping my heart out at the last minute? Every time I think big things for my Jets, I just remind myself of the two missed Doug Brien field goal attempts in the 2005 AFC Divisional round against the Steelers, and I am brought back to life. This year could be different. They have real playmakers on both sides of the ball. They have strong offensive and defensive lines. And they have Brett Favre, who I am waiting to throw 15 consecutive picks. He hasn't done that yet, which is nice. All I'm asking for is a playoff run. AFC Championship maybe? Anything. Something to cheer about.
Pittsburgh over New England
I can't believe as this point in the season I am writing about the Patriots still having a chance at the AFC East title. They're like Rasputin, they just won't die. THIS ISN'T WHAT'S SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN! MATT CASSEL SHOULD NOT BE GOOD! HE SHOULD SUCK! WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH YOU PEOPLE?! Ugh, the Steelers have to win. They just have to. I'm sick of New England fans saying "Ahh tha Patriahts ah gunna destroy Troy Pahlahmaluh and tha rest of tha Pittsburgh Steelahs." It's time they focus their fandom to the Bruins or something.
Kansas City over Oakland
This used to be some sort of rivalry or something.
Minnesota over Chicago
How is NBC going to promote this matchup? I'm betting dollars to doughnuts it won't be "ORTON VS. FREROTTE". I'm leaning towards "PETERSON VS. FORTE". When Peterson is in a game, it is immediately watchable. That's only the case for a few players in the NFL: Brett Favre, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Eli Manning, Terrell Owens, Tony Romo, LaDainian Tomlinson, and maybe Rex Grossman.
Jacksonville over Houston
Oh what a Monday Night Football game! What will Kornheiser, Tirico, and Jaworski talk about during this one? David Garrard's battle with Crohn's disease? The fact that Maurice Jones Drew has three names? I can't wait!
Week 8 Picks
Baltimore over Oakland
Panthers over Cardinals
Cowboys over Buccaneers
Redskins over Lions
Dolphins over Bills
Patriots over Rams
Chargers over Saints
Jets over Chiefs
Eagles over Falcons
Browns over Jaguars
Texans over Bengals
Giants over Steelers
49ers over Seahawks
Titans over Colts